Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
8º
7º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 87 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 76 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 67 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 55 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 1
NOM
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
TKA
2 - 2
NOM
39%
23%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
NOM
1 - 0
FCT
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 2
VJK
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 2
NOM
71%
16%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
FCE
0 - 2
TKA
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
FCE
3 - 2
TCS
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 17 | 50 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCE
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCE
2 - 0
LEV
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
FCE
1 - 2
WEL
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |