Noja vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
HOS
1 - 1
NOJ
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
IZA
2 - 3
NOJ
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOJ
2 - 3
TUD
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NOJ
3 - 2
SDA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 1
NOJ
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
TER
29%
28%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RUN
1 - 0
BAR
71%
20%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
ATH
7%
19%
74%
|
44 | 88 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
RAC
8%
17%
75%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |