Noia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
NOI
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NOI
0 - 1
RIB
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOI
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 0
BER
25%
26%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
NOI
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 2
ALO
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 1
CHO
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
ARO
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOI
1 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 3
ASP
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |