Nocerina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
NOC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 0
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOC
4 - 0
SSB
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOC
4 - 2
ACP
71%
18%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LAT
1 - 1
NOC
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCV
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 0
FCC
53%
26%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 3
LAT
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |