Nocerina vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOC
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASD
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 2
NOC
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
NOC
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NOC
4 - 2
FCI
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
ASD
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROT
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
ROT
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 4
GEL
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |