NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 2
NKV
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 3
OSI
25%
26%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
DZG
2 - 0
NKV
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 0
NKV
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 2
IST
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 3
RIJ
22%
25%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |