NK Varazdin vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
8º
6º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
NKV
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 3
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
LOK
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |