Varteks vs Podravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
9º
3º
22
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
RMS
0 - 1
NKV
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 0
NDD
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NKV
3 - 1
PAP
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NKP
2 - 0
NKV
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
3 - 3
NKK
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Podravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
POD
2 - 4
NKP
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NKK
6 - 2
POD
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
POD
2 - 2
VIR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NKS
1 - 0
POD
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POD
2 - 1
POD
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |