NK Tomislav Cerna vs HNK Đakovo Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
75.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+741%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
15º
15º
31
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tomislav Cerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NKS
2 - 0
TOM
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 1
ORI
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BED
3 - 3
TOM
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Đakovo Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
SLA
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
CRO
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 2
CEP
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 0
ORI
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OGV
0 - 0
CRO
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |