NK Tolmin vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
NKD
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 0
TOL
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 2
NKV
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 3
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SEN
2 - 2
TOL
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALU
0 - 2
DRA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NKD
1 - 2
ALU
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
5 - 1
KRA
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NKV
3 - 3
ALU
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALU
2 - 1
SEN
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |