3. SNL Este round 22

Rače vs Zavrč analysis

Rače Zavrč
41 ELO 47
1.3% Tilt 2.9%
5569º General ELO ranking 6411º
44º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Rače
23.1%
Draw
43.2%
Zavrč

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
Rače
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.2%
Win probability
Zavrč
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rače
+24%
-26%
Zavrč

Points and table prediction

Rače
Their league position
Zavrč
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
36
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ND Dravinja Kostroj
48
52
93%
Drava Ptuj
49
49
93.5%
SD Videm
43
46
48%
Rače
41
44
28%
Podvinci
40
43
26.5%
Dobrovce
39
42
18%
Šampion Celje
37
41
20.5%
Brežice
37
40
20.5%
Posavje Krsko
12º
23
40
9%
Zavrč
36
39
10º
17.5%
Ljutomer
10º
33
36
11º
78.5%
Cirkulane
11º
27
30
12º
98%
Smartno 1928
13º
10
10
13º
83.5%
Dravograd
14º
8
8
14º
83.5%
Expected probabilities
Rače
Zavrč
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rače
Zavrč
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rače
Rače
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
POD
Podvinci
4 - 1
Rače
RAC
32%
26%
43%
45 40 5 0
15 Apr. 2023
CEL
Šampion Celje
1 - 2
Rače
RAC
51%
22%
27%
44 43 1 +1
08 Apr. 2023
RAC
Rače
2 - 1
ND Dravinja Kostroj
TOL
31%
24%
45%
42 48 6 +2
01 Apr. 2023
DRA
Drava Ptuj
1 - 1
Rače
RAC
50%
23%
27%
42 42 0 0
25 Mar. 2023
RAC
Rače
6 - 2
Dravograd
DRA
83%
11%
6%
42 22 20 0

Matches

Zavrč
Zavrč
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
ZAV
Zavrč
1 - 2
ND Dravinja Kostroj
TOL
42%
25%
34%
47 48 1 0
15 Apr. 2023
DRA
Drava Ptuj
2 - 0
Zavrč
ZAV
24%
22%
54%
49 41 8 -2
08 Apr. 2023
ZAV
Zavrč
5 - 0
Dravograd
DRA
83%
12%
5%
48 25 23 +1
25 Mar. 2023
ZAV
Zavrč
0 - 1
Smartno 1928
SMA
85%
11%
4%
49 23 26 -1
19 Mar. 2023
VID
SD Videm
0 - 0
Zavrč
ZAV
20%
20%
60%
49 40 9 0