Petrinja vs Lukavec analysis


31	ELO	20
-4.7%	Tilt	-4.8%
32214º	General ELO ranking	46554º
194º	Country ELO ranking	277º
ELO win probability

73.3%

Petrinja

15.5%

Draw

11.2%

Lukavec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

73.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%

15.5%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

7%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

15.5%

11.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-18%

+27%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Petrinja

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Sep. 2021	ZAG 4 - 0 NMP 58% 20% 22%	33	35	2	0
04 Sep. 2021	NMP 1 - 0 HAS 58% 21% 22%	32	30	2	+1
29 Aug. 2021	TRN 1 - 1 NMP 74% 17% 10%	32	44	12	0
25 Aug. 2021	NKR 0 - 0 NMP 87% 9% 4%	32	57	25	0
12 Jun. 2021	NMP 6 - 1 MAK 39% 22% 39%	30	32	2	+2