Hrvatski Vitez vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
15º
4º
27
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Vitez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NER
2 - 0
NKH
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NKH
2 - 1
HNK
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 4
NKH
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NKH
0 - 0
ZAG
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NKH
1 - 1
VOD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 1
PRB
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPL
0 - 1
NER
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HNK
5 - 0
SPL
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 4
NKG
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPL
1 - 3
DZG
5%
15%
81%
|
34 | 84 | 50 | 0 |