Nivo Sparta vs Almkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
10º
25
4º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nivo Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 2
NIV
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NIV
2 - 1
ACH
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
4 - 6
NIV
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NIV
1 - 2
LRC
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DTS
2 - 1
NIV
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Almkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
SVL
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
SLI
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
ACH
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |