Nismes vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nismes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JEU
3 - 3
NIS
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPY
1 - 2
NIS
37%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NIS
3 - 0
GRA
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 2
NIS
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NIS
3 - 0
ASS
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
5 - 2
SPY
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
ROC
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 1
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 1
ROC
41%
23%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
BEA
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |