Ninove vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
17º
2º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ninove
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
NIN
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIN
4 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIN
1 - 0
ZUL
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OOS
1 - 1
NIN
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NIN
1 - 1
OUD
36%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
APP
0 - 1
EEA
20%
22%
59%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EEA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 3
EEA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EEA
3 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EEA
1 - 0
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |