Ligue 1 Round 4

Nîmes vs Lens analysis

Nîmes Lens
79 ELO 79
-6.4% Tilt -8.2%
1983º General ELO ranking 41º
62º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.8%
Nîmes
23.2%
Draw
28%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
Nîmes
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28%
Win probability
Lens
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nîmes
-18%
-4%
Lens

ELO progression

Nîmes
Lens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nîmes
Nîmes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1964
VAL
Valenciennes
1 - 0
Nîmes
NÎM
41%
25%
34%
80 79 1 0
05 Sep. 1964
NÎM
Nîmes
2 - 3
Stade Rennais
REN
56%
22%
23%
80 75 5 0
29 Aug. 1964
SED
CS Sedan
4 - 2
Nîmes
NÎM
53%
23%
24%
80 80 0 0
07 Jun. 1964
NÎM
Nîmes
5 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
46%
24%
30%
79 80 1 +1
31 May. 1964
ANG
Angers SCO
0 - 1
Nîmes
NÎM
50%
23%
27%
79 77 2 0

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 1964
LEN
Lens
1 - 0
Angers SCO
ANG
63%
19%
18%
79 75 4 0
05 Sep. 1964
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 2
Lens
LEN
52%
23%
26%
79 80 1 0
29 Aug. 1964
LEN
Lens
1 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
53%
22%
26%
79 80 1 0
07 Jun. 1964
LEN
Lens
2 - 0
Valenciennes
VAL
55%
21%
24%
78 78 0 +1
31 May. 1964
TFC
Toulouse
4 - 2
Lens
LEN
48%
24%
28%
79 78 1 -1