Nîmes II vs SA Mérignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
NIM
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NIM
3 - 0
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 1
NIM
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NIM
3 - 0
COR
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FUR
5 - 1
NIM
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
TOF
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAG
0 - 0
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |