Nigeria U20 vs DR Congo U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
GAB
0 - 1
NGA
9%
19%
73%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
0 - 1
MLI
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NGA
3 - 1
SUD
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 1
NGA
31%
24%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NGA
2 - 0
TAN
84%
11%
4%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
DR Congo U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
MLI
2 - 1
RDC
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RDC
0 - 0
GAB
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RDC
4 - 1
CMR
31%
24%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 0
RDC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MAU
0 - 0
RDC
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | -1 |