Nieuwenhoorn vs FC 's-Gravenzande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
16º
15º
49
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HBS
0 - 0
NIE
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
POO
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 1
NIE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 2
ASW
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZWA
5 - 3
NIE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC 's-Gravenzande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
RKA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
FCS
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
VOC
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEE
1 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
CAP
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |