Nieuwenhoorn vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
5 - 0
NIE
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NIE
1 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PUR
0 - 0
NIE
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NIE
3 - 2
WES
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 2
NIE
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ALP
1 - 1
DHC
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALP
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALP
1 - 4
LEO
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
KON
0 - 3
ALP
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALP
2 - 0
DEZ
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |