Nieto CD vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieto CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
NIE
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 3
TEI
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 3
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIE
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 3
GON
73%
15%
11%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
CHA
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GON
0 - 0
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
CHO
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GDM
0 - 1
CAS
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
CRI
62%
20%
18%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |