Nielba Wagrowiec vs Sparta Brodnica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nielba Wagrowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WAR
3 - 1
NIE
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 1
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
NIE
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
KUJ
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PSR
2 - 0
NIE
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Brodnica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SBR
0 - 0
JAR
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PNI
0 - 0
SBR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WAR
5 - 1
SBR
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SBR
1 - 1
TKP
46%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SBR
1 - 1
OST
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |