Nice vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 0
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
DIJ
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 1
ETG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
SOC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SOC
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 1
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SOC
2 - 6
REN
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |