Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
GIR
3 - 0
NIC
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 2
TOU
71%
17%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
NÎM
1 - 3
NIC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ASN
2 - 0
GIR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 0
ASN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ASN
2 - 0
NÎM
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ASN
1 - 2
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |