Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 3
NIC
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
NIC
2 - 2
BAS
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1978 |
NIC
2 - 1
SOC
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 1
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
PFC
1 - 1
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ASN
2 - 2
ANG
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
NÎM
3 - 0
ASN
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1978 |
ASN
4 - 0
REI
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |