Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 2
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
GIR
3 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 1
ESP
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 3
REI
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
LYO
4 - 1
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
2 - 2
REI
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
PSG
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
NÎM
0 - 2
LEN
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |