Nice vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 2
ESW
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SED
4 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NIC
1 - 1
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
RED
1 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 2
VAL
63%
24%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
GUI
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
GUI
1 - 3
STL
62%
24%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 2
GUI
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
CAN
1 - 3
GUI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |