Nice vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRO
3 - 3
NIC
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 2
NAP
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
NIC
4 - 0
GAL
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 1
NIC
18%
21%
61%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
TFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAE
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 1
ANG
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
LHA
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 2
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |