Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 4
NIC
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
4 - 2
BRE
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 4
PSG
18%
24%
59%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETG
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
REN
3 - 2
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |