Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 2
NIC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 0
RED
64%
21%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 2
NIC
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1971 |
NIC
3 - 1
LIL
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 0
LIL
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |