Nice U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
5º
49
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
NIC
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 4
NIC
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NIC
5 - 0
ASG
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ORO
2 - 0
NIC
20%
20%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NIC
0 - 0
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 4
OLY
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TOU
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AJA
4 - 0
TOU
20%
21%
58%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 0
ASG
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ORO
1 - 3
TOU
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |