Nice II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEP
2 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAY
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
LAS
3 - 3
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 0
SÈT
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
HYE
33%
29%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ROD
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LEP
3 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
TAR
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |