Nice II vs Marignane Gignac II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIC
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 2
SCR
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 1
EUA
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAL
54%
20%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CAN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RSV
3 - 2
MAR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
AJA
27%
22%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
4 - 3
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAS
16%
18%
65%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |