Nice II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCM
3 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MOA
1 - 0
NIC
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 2
LEP
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LYO
2 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LEP
2 - 0
LYO
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LYO
4 - 0
SÈT
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
LYO
52%
26%
23%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 0
LYO
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |