Nice II vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 1
FCM
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 3
NIC
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
HYE
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
54%
22%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HYE
2 - 1
GRA
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 0
GRA
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 1
BER
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |