Nice II vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
0
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 3
RSV
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 3
GAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
0 - 0
GAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 2
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |