Nice II vs Manosque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 2
GAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SAE
1 - 0
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
HYE
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
LUZ
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manosque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EPM
0 - 0
TOU
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
EPM
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EPM
1 - 4
GAP
20%
25%
56%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 0
EPM
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
EPM
0 - 1
AND
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |