Nicaragua Sub 21 vs Belice Sub 21 analysis


5	ELO	8
-1%	Tilt	0.3%
38463º	General ELO ranking	38464º
46º	Country ELO ranking	34º
ELO win probability

29%

Nicaragua Sub 21

21.3%

Draw

49.7%

Belice Sub 21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

29%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%

21.3%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

21.3%

49.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nicaragua Sub 21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Mar. 2013	NIC 1 - 2 BLZ 37% 23% 40%	5	7	2	0
10 Mar. 2013	CRI 2 - 0 NIC 84% 12% 4%	5	53	48	0
07 Mar. 2013	SLV 5 - 0 NIC 52% 22% 26%	7	8	1	-2

Matches

Belice Sub 21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
11 Mar. 2013	NIC 1 - 2 BLZ 37% 23% 40%	7	5	2
09 Mar. 2013	BLZ 1 - 1 SLV 38% 23% 38%	7	9	2
08 Mar. 2013	CRI 3 - 0 BLZ 83% 12% 5%	7	53	46