Newtown vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
11º
11º
51
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 3
BAL
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
TNS
40%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AIR
0 - 1
TNS
25%
20%
56%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
38%
25%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |