Newtown vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
6º
4º
45
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
NEW
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |