FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 3-4
Newport Pagnell Town FC vs Stotfold FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
NEW
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
NEW
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 1
DES
80%
13%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
HAR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stotfold FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
NEW
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 0
STO
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
HIT
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
BED
10%
14%
76%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |