Newport County vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHE
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
WAL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
POR
4 - 2
CRE
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
OXF
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 3
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |