Newport County vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
NEW
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 3
CUM
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
STA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
YEO
0 - 2
LIN
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 2
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |