Newhaven vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
11 - 0
RFC
91%
7%
2%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 5
NEW
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
6 - 1
AUC
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEX
2 - 0
NEW
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LCO
0 - 3
NEW
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 4
EAS
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEF
2 - 3
VAR
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LCO
6 - 1
VAR
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIN
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
7 - 0
NEW
14%
17%
70%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +5 |