Newell's Vilanova i la Gelt vs Canyelles Assoc. Esp. CF A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Vilanova i la Gelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAV
5 - 2
NVI
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEG
0 - 0
NVI
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NVI
0 - 0
OLE
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EGU
3 - 4
NVI
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VMV
14 - 0
NVI
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Canyelles Assoc. Esp. CF A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VMV
3 - 3
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAN
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 7
JRI
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
4 - 4
CAN
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
8 - 1
CAN
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |