Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 0
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATT
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TEM
2 - 0
NOB
23%
29%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
NOB
5 - 2
SAN
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOB
0 - 1
DYJ
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
MOR
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
VSC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
MOR
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
ESP
52%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |