Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
NOB
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NOB
0 - 0
COL
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOB
6 - 1
SMA
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 1
NOB
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 2
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
VEL
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
TEM
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
VEL
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
RAF
55%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |