Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RAC
2 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NOB
2 - 1
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 0
SLO
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 2
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
4 - 2
GIM
62%
24%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
3 - 0
OLI
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
COL
0 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 2
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |