Newell's Old Boys vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 0
NOB
54%
25%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
GOD
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
NOB
51%
26%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RAF
0 - 0
NOB
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 2
ALB
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TIG
2 - 2
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |